• Confrontation, not de-escalation will defeat Putin

    Moscow still bets on nuclear blackmail and other threats of escalation, believing that at some point it will work. As long as the Western leaders are focused on a need to de-escalate, they are in fact deterring themselves instead of Russia. However, as soon as Putin encounters a rival who doesn’t back down, he’s lost. The only way to defeat him is to push him into a corner and prove he’s a little fearful man.
    by Mykola Riabchuk
  • Epitaph on a mafioso’s grave

    Prigozhin thought that his ‘hard drive’ of Putin’s murky network of contacts, conspiracies and deals might save him, following his mutiny. He was wrong, writes the well-known Russian historian Vladislav Zubok. But his murder means Putin is now more Mafia Don than Imperial Tsar.
    by Vladislav Zubok
  • 'Prigozhin considered himself indestructible'

    Current and former Wagner mercenaries tell Lilia Yapparova what they think will happen to the Wagner Group now that its leader has been killed. The general consensus is that Prigozhin personally controlled most of Wagner Group’s activities and that without him, the private military company seems likely to crumble.
    by Lilia Yapparova
  • Prigozhin's challenge is only the first one Putin is going to face

    An autocratic regime is only stable as long as the elites are convinced that no one in their ranks will dare to oppose the leader. Until now the Russian elites have kept their heads low, although privately many members have negative feelings about the war and its consequences. Thanks to Prigozhin's mutiny Putin’s vulnerability has become public knowledge and public spectacle.
    by Ilya Matveev
  • Who was Prigozhin counting on to back his failed mutiny?

    During his march on Moscow, Wagner boss Yevgeny Prigozhin was counting on solidarity from senior army officers. Considering the fact he came close to reaching the capital without encountering any particular resistance, he might not have been completely mistaken.
    by Mikhail Komin
  • Prigozhin’s coup attempt exposes Putin’s vulnerability

    The war has gradually revealed Putin to be an ’emperor without clothes’. Even his inner circle will soon be forced to admit that. Though Prigozhin’s coup lasted less than 24 hours, it’s likely to have major consequences for Putin’s system of power in the foreseeable future.
  • Open quarrels in the elite foreboding of post-Putin period?

    Remarkable shifts take place in the Russian elite. More and more feuds between apparatchiks come out into the open. Conflicts among high-profile politicians and the siloviki are a sign of the collapse of the old system. This might be the beginning of a change of Russia’s system of power. 
    by Andrey Pertsev
  • Will Mueller’s investigation tangle Putin’s ‘adhocrats’?

    Column Who are the people that cater on the Kremlin, in this very specific clientelistic Russian way?